Twenty 3-year-olds. Ten furlongs. One mile and a quarter at Churchill Downs. Analyzed across eleven classical handicapping factors.
The Field
Quick Filters
5 horses match
Score · 11 factors max · tap any horse for full breakdown
The Methodology
Eleven Theories
A horse passes the screen by checking boxes that decades of Derby winners have shared. Some factors carry decades of statistical weight; others are sharp tiebreakers.
The Archive
Past Winners
Thirty-one years of Derby finishes. Tap any year to read the chart and see which qualifiers the winner met.
1995. 2025
Reverse chronological
Pips show factors winner passed (FFT · Top-4 · Post · Strong Prep)
Build Your Card
The Bet Builder
Construct WPS, Exacta, Trifecta, and Superfecta tickets. See the implied hit probability and ticket cost based on current odds.
Your Saved Tickets
My Card
Reference these tickets at the window or sportsbook. Edit amounts, delete what changes your mind. Churchill Downs Derby Day minimums are enforced.
About This Tool
What This Is
A transparent rules-based handicapping screen. not a black-box AI predictor.
Your Shortlist
My Notes
Horses you've liked are saved here for side-by-side comparison. Tap chips on any horse's page to add them.